Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.000259 0.000289 0.000322 0.000360 0.000403 0.000450 0.000505
2025-01-26 0.000204 0.000247 0.000298 0.000363 0.000444 0.000542 0.000671
2025-02-02 0.000177 0.000228 0.000292 0.000379 0.000497 0.000651 0.000871
2025-02-09 0.000151 0.000204 0.000274 0.000375 0.000519 0.000721 0.001027
2025-02-16 0.000135 0.000189 0.000264 0.000379 0.000550 0.000803 0.001211
2025-02-23 0.000120 0.000174 0.000252 0.000375 0.000569 0.000868 0.001378
2025-03-02 0.000109 0.000163 0.000244 0.000377 0.000595 0.000947 0.001578
2025-03-09 0.000100 0.000153 0.000236 0.000376 0.000615 0.001017 0.001773
2025-03-16 0.000088 0.000139 0.000219 0.000359 0.000606 0.001036 0.001880
2025-03-23 0.000082 0.000132 0.000214 0.000361 0.000629 0.001114 0.002107
2025-03-30 0.000079 0.000130 0.000216 0.000375 0.000675 0.001240 0.002448
2025-04-06 0.000072 0.000122 0.000206 0.000367 0.000678 0.001283 0.002626
2025-04-13 0.000065 0.000111 0.000191 0.000349 0.000662 0.001291 0.002738
2025-04-20 0.000061 0.000106 0.000188 0.000352 0.000690 0.001392 0.003080
2025-04-27 0.000059 0.000106 0.000191 0.000368 0.000745 0.001561 0.003613
2025-05-04 0.000055 0.000100 0.000185 0.000364 0.000757 0.001636 0.003937
2025-05-11 0.000052 0.000097 0.000182 0.000368 0.000786 0.001753 0.004390
2025-05-18 0.000049 0.000092 0.000177 0.000364 0.000799 0.001835 0.004770
2025-05-25 0.000046 0.000089 0.000174 0.000367 0.000825 0.001953 0.005276
2025-06-01 0.000044 0.000085 0.000170 0.000365 0.000843 0.002054 0.005757
2025-06-08 0.000040 0.000079 0.000159 0.000349 0.000822 0.002049 0.005915
2025-06-15 0.000038 0.000077 0.000157 0.000351 0.000846 0.002171 0.006503
2025-06-22 0.000037 0.000076 0.000160 0.000365 0.000903 0.002392 0.007471